IMPACT – LOW
British Futures, a nonpartisan, nonpolitical think tank focused on migration and integration issues, has released a report, “Britain’s Immigration Offer to Europe,” which outlines a potential way forward for Brexit negotiators looking to secure access to the European single market without committing to full free movement of people. The report recognizes that the debate has so far focused on either free movement or a “hard Brexit” as mutually exclusive options, but offers a compromise position in which the British public sees more tangible control of migration, and particularly of low-skilled migration, while the remaining 27 EU member states are given sufficient preferential treatment to secure their support.
You can read the full report here.
BAL Analysis: BAL considers the proposals to be well-informed, reasonable, fair and business-friendly, yet it is sufficiently inclusive that it would not necessarily cut overall migrant numbers to the degree that the government and pro-Brexit voters seek, and to that extent may still not be politically viable. The report does not deal with the trickier issues of students, self-sufficient individuals, the self-employed, family or derivative rights, and assumes that those already in the U.K. will be protected with a “fair deal,” and thus only addresses part of the larger EU migration picture post-Brexit. BAL recognizes the difficulty for U.K. and global employers operating in an environment of legal uncertainty post -referendum and welcomes comments from the business community that contribute to the policy debate.
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